To interpret or not to interpret: Forecasting conflict fatalities with machine learning models vs. GLMs
Forecasting conflict on a fine-grained grid level has real-life policy implications that can empirically inform meaningful healthcare and peace-preservation decisions. In many settings, interpretable models have the appeal that policymakers know how to draw conclusions from the model and do not have to base their decisions on black-box models. On the other hand, machine learning … Read more